President John Dramani Mahama is emerging as a potential unifying figure for the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), according to the 2025 Crystal Ball Projections by AB & David Africa.
The report highlights his critical role in fostering reconciliation and strengthening regional integration amid a period of political turbulence.
ECOWAS has faced significant challenges following the withdrawal of Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali in 2024.
The three nations, suspended after military coups ousted their governments, later formalised their exit, straining the bloc’s cohesion and capacity to address the Sahel region’s crises.
President Mahama’s leadership has sparked renewed hope for dialogue and regional stability.
His inauguration was notably attended by representatives from some of the breakaway nations, signaling potential avenues for reconciliation.
Shortly after assuming office, Mahama received Mali’s Prime Minister, General Abdoulaye Maiga, in an official visit to Ghana, underscoring his commitment to fostering collaboration.
Speaking at the annual Pan-African Business Forum, a Senior Partner at AB & David Africa, noted Mahama’s unique position to rebuild bridges.
“President Mahama wasn’t at the center of the crises that fractured ECOWAS, which positions him as a neutral and credible peacemaker. He could play a pivotal role in reuniting the bloc and restoring its strength,” the partner said.
The analyst also pointed to the strategic significance of Sahel trade routes, arguing that the timing of ECOWAS’ suspension of these nations in 2024, shortly after Nigeria’s Bola Tinubu assumed ECOWAS chairmanship, may have been a misstep.